R. Weron, and I. Simonsen
Blackouts, risk, and fat-tailed distributions
p.215 in Practical Fruits of Econophysics (Springer Verlag, 2006) Abstract
We analyze a 19-year time series of North American electric power transmission system blackouts. Contrary to previously reported results we find a fatter than exponential decay in the distribution of inter-occurrence times and evidence of seasonal dependence in the number of events. Our findings question the use of self-organized criticality as a paradigm of blackout dynamics in power transmission systems.
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