M. H. Jensen, A. Johansen, F. Petroni, and I. Simonsen Inverse Statistics in the Foreign Exchange Market Physica A 340, 678 (2004).
Abstract
We investigate intra-day foreign exchange (FX) time series using the inverse statistic analysis developed by Simonsen et al. (Eur. Phys. J. B 27 (2002) 583) and Jensen et al. (Physica A 324 (2003) 338). Specifically, we study the time-averaged distributions of waiting times needed to obtain a certain increase (decrease) in the price of an investment. The analysis is performed for the Deutsch Mark (DM) against the US$ for the full year of 1998, but similar results are obtained for the Japanese Yen against the US$. With high statistical significance, the presence of "resonance peaks" in the waiting time distributions is established. Such peaks are a consequence of the trading habits of the market participants as they are not present in the corresponding tick (business) waiting time distributions. Furthermore, a new stylized fact, is observed for the (normalized) waiting time distribution in the form of a power law Pdf. This result is achieved by rescaling of the physical waiting time by the corresponding tick time thereby partially removing scale-dependent features of the market activity.
Download

| (Journal Version) | (cond-mat/0402591) | (203kb) |